Today’s Intrinsic Values
Stock Overview
Rundown***
UNP – UNION PACIFIC CORPORATION (HQ: USA/Industry: Road & Rail)
52 Week Lo/Hi Price: 195.68 / 278.94
Previous Closing Price: 234.30
Margin of Safety Intrinsic Value Price: 59.21
10-Year Financial Summary (Recent/Average)
Revenue: $21.8B/$21.6B, with 4 declining years and 11.6% YoY growth
EPS (USD): 9.95/7.26, with 4 declining years and 26.3% YoY growth
BV (USD): 21.78/24.39, with 5 declining years and -15% YoY decrease
FCF: $6.1B/$4.2B, with 5 declining years and 8.6% YoY growth
Dividend: Increased 243%, with 0 declining years
Share Count: Decreased -31%
To value the business at the current market price the company would need more than a 15% per year growth for the next 10-years
PHM – PULTEGROUP, INC. (HQ: USA/Industry: Household Durables)
52 Week Lo/Hi Price: 39.61 / 63.91
Previous Closing Price: 41.91
Margin of Safety Intrinsic Value Price: 64.16
10-Year Financial Summary (Recent/Average)
Revenue: $13.9B/$8.4B, with 0 declining years and 26.2% YoY growth
EPS (USD): 7.43/3.29, with 2 declining years and 43.4% YoY growth
BV (USD): 28.64/16.14, with 0 declining years and 22.3% YoY growth
FCF: $931M/$719M, with 4 declining years and -46.1% YoY decrease
Dividend: Increased 280%, with 0 declining years
Share Count: Decreased -32%
The stock is trading below its margin of safety intrinsic value by 42%
CW – CURTISS-WRIGHT CORPORATION (HQ: USA/Industry: Aerospace & Defense)
52 Week Lo/Hi Price: 111.26 / 162.98
Previous Closing Price: 154.11
Margin of Safety Intrinsic Value Price: 143.26
10-Year Financial Summary (Recent/Average)
Revenue: $2.5B/$2.3B, with 4 declining years and 4.8% YoY growth
EPS (USD): 6.58/4.44, with 3 declining years and 37.1% YoY growth
BV (USD): 49.39/35.53, with 2 declining years and 12.3% YoY growth
FCF: $347M/$253M, with 5 declining years and 62.1% YoY growth
Dividend: Increased 103%, with 0 declining years
Share Count: Decreased -13%
The stock is fairly valued but only takes into account a 86% margin of safety when ideally it should be 80%
MCS – THE MARCUS CORPORATION (HQ: USA/Industry: Entertainment)
52 Week Lo/Hi Price: 14.42 / 22.87
Previous Closing Price: 16.74
Margin of Safety Intrinsic Value Price: 4.31
10-Year Financial Summary (Recent/Average)
Revenue: $458M/$515M, with 2 declining years and 92.4% YoY growth
EPS (USD): -1.42/0.45, with 5 declining years and currant year being negative
BV (USD): 14.07/16.22, with 3 declining years and -18.9% YoY decrease
FCF: $29M/$29M, with 7 declining years
Company did not pay a dividend last year
Share Count: Increased 7%
To value the business at the current market price the company would need more than a 14% per year growth for the next 10-years
SIGA – SIGA TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (HQ: USA/Industry: Pharmaceuticals)
52 Week Lo/Hi Price: 5.66 / 9.82
Previous Closing Price: 6.85
Margin of Safety Intrinsic Value Price: 0.74
10-Year Financial Summary (Recent/Average)
Revenue: $134M/$82M, with 5 declining years and 7.2% YoY growth
EPS (USD): 0.91/-0.08, with 4 declining years and 28.2% YoY growth
BV (USD): 1.45/-1.13, with 5 declining years and -0.7% YoY decrease
FCF: $11M/$7M, with 6 declining years and -84.7% YoY decrease
Company does not pay a dividend
Share Count: Increased 46%
To value the business at the current market price the company would need more than a 23% per year growth for the next 10-years