KO, ALB, SUPN, FRME & CIVB Intrinsic Values

Today’s Intrinsic Values

Stock Overview

Rundown***

KO – THE COCA-COLA COMPANY (HQ: USA/Industry: Beverages)
52 Week Lo/Hi Price: 52.28 / 67.00
Previous Closing Price: 66.20
Margin of Safety Intrinsic Value Price: 15.48

10-Year Financial Summary (Recent/Average)
Revenue: $38.7B/$40.3B, with 7 declining years and 17.1% YoY growth
EPS (USD): 2.25/1.65, with 5 declining years and 25.7% YoY growth
BV (USD): 5.13/5.77, with 5 declining years and 18.5% YoY growth
FCF: $11.3B/$7.9B, with 3 declining years and 29.9% YoY growth
Dividend: Increased 65%, with 0 declining years
Share Count: Decreased -5%

To value the business at the current market price the company would need more than a 14% per year growth for the next 10-years

ALB – ALBEMARLE CORPORATION (HQ: USA/Industry: Chemicals)
52 Week Lo/Hi Price: 146.52 / 291.48
Previous Closing Price: 207.24
Margin of Safety Intrinsic Value Price: 4.23

10-Year Financial Summary (Recent/Average)
Revenue: $3.3B/$3.1B, with 5 declining years and 6.4% YoY growth
EPS (USD): 1.06/3.52, with 6 declining years and -69.9% YoY decrease
BV (USD): 48.66/30.71, with 2 declining years and 26% YoY growth
FCF: $-609M/$58M, with 5 declining years and currant year being negative
Dividend: Increased 95%, with 0 declining years
Share Count: Increased 30%

To value the business at the current market price the company would need more than a 4% per year growth for the next 10-years

SUPN – SUPERNUS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. (HQ: USA/Industry: Pharmaceuticals)
52 Week Lo/Hi Price: 23.15 / 34.50
Previous Closing Price: 29.60
Margin of Safety Intrinsic Value Price: 12.40

10-Year Financial Summary (Recent/Average)
Revenue: $580M/$270M, with 1 declining year and 11.5% YoY growth
EPS (USD): 0.98/0.47, with 4 declining years and -58.5% YoY decrease
BV (USD): 15.22/6.10, with 2 declining years and 13.5% YoY growth
FCF: $125M/$64M, with 4 declining years and -7.4% YoY decrease
Company does not pay a dividend
Share Count: Increased 218%

To value the business at the current market price the company would need more than a 10% per year growth for the next 10-years

FRME – FIRST MERCHANTS CORPORATION (HQ: USA/Industry: Banks)
52 Week Lo/Hi Price: 37.67 / 48.66
Previous Closing Price: 43.40
Margin of Safety Intrinsic Value Price: 46.85

10-Year Financial Summary (Recent/Average)
Revenue: $520M/$345M, with 1 declining year and 5.7% YoY growth
EPS (USD): 3.81/2.33, with 2 declining years and 39.1% YoY growth
BV (USD): 34.97/24.27, with 1 declining year and 2.9% YoY growth
FCF: $207M/$139M, with 4 declining years and 1% YoY growth
Dividend: Increased 1,030%, with 0 declining years
Share Count: Increased 86%

The stock is trading below its margin of safety intrinsic value by 7%

CIVB – CIVISTA BANCSHARES, INC. (HQ: USA/Industry: Banks)
52 Week Lo/Hi Price: 21.40 / 25.94
Previous Closing Price: 23.40
Margin of Safety Intrinsic Value Price: 17.86

10-Year Financial Summary (Recent/Average)
Revenue: $125M/$78M, with 1 declining year and 7.8% YoY growth
EPS (USD): 2.63/1.37, with 3 declining years and 31.5% YoY growth
BV (USD): 23.30/15.79, with 1 declining year and 8.3% YoY growth
FCF: $39M/$21M, with 4 declining years and 30% YoY growth
Dividend: Increased 333%, with 0 declining years
Share Count: Increased 88%

The stock is fairly valued but only takes into account a 84% margin of safety when ideally it should be 63.75%

*Growth Grade is an indicator of a company’s growth potential, refer to the Terminology page for a full description.
**Industry averages based on the stocks that have been valued on the website and not for all stocks in an industry.
***Company business descriptions are mainly quoted from there recent 10-K/20-F filing with the SEC, refer to the filing for additional information.

Intrinsic values provided are intended as reference only. They should never be used as the sole means of valuing a company and/or making investment decisions. As with any investment, an investor should perform their due diligence before investing. This includes understand the investment risks, reviewing financial reporting documents, and consult an investment professional if necessary.

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