CB, PZZA, AN, CLB & HNRG Intrinsic Values

Today’s Intrinsic Values

Stock Overview

Rundown

CB – CHUBB LTD (HQ: Switzerland/Industry: Insurance)
52 Week Lo/Hi Price: 155.78 / 218.99
Previous Closing Price: 206.10
Margin of Safety Intrinsic Value Price: 215.58

10-Year Financial Summary (Recent/Average)
Revenue: $41B/$28.3B, with 2 declining years and 13.8% YoY growth
EPS (USD): 19.27/9.82, with 3 declining years and 147.4% YoY growth
BV (USD): 139.06/105.35, with 1 declining year and 11.1% YoY growth
FCF: $11.1B/$5.9B, with 2 declining years and 13.9% YoY growth
Dividend: Increased 32%, with 2 declining years
Share Count: Increased 29%

The stock is trading below its margin of safety intrinsic value by 4%

PZZA – PAPA JOHN’S INTERNATIONAL, INC. (HQ: USA/Industry: Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure)
52 Week Lo/Hi Price: 91.53 / 140.68
Previous Closing Price: 100.84
Margin of Safety Intrinsic Value Price: 13.45

10-Year Financial Summary (Recent/Average)
Revenue: $2.1B/$1.7B, with 1 declining year and 14.1% YoY growth
EPS (USD): 0.12/1.33, with 3 declining years and -90.6% YoY decrease
BV (USD): -4.26/-2.37, with 8 declining years and currant year being negative
FCF: $116M/$80M, with 7 declining years and -23.2% YoY decrease
Dividend: Increased 360%, with 1 declining year
Share Count: Decreased -27%

To value the business at the current market price the company would need more than a 21% per year growth for the next 10-years

AN – AUTONATION, INC. (HQ: USA/Industry: Specialty Retail)
52 Week Lo/Hi Price: 88.32 / 133.48
Previous Closing Price: 106.37
Margin of Safety Intrinsic Value Price: 69.07


10-Year Financial Summary (Recent/Average)
Revenue: $25.8B/$20.5B, with 4 declining years and 26.7% YoY growth
EPS (USD): 18.31/5.35, with 2 declining years and 325.8% YoY growth
BV (USD): 37.64/25.52, with 2 declining years and -6.4% YoY decrease
FCF: $1.4B/$451M, with 5 declining years and 34.3% YoY growth
Company does not pay a dividend
Share Count: Decreased -40%

The stock is fairly valued but only takes into account a 92% margin of safety when ideally it should be 60%

CLB – CORE LABORATORIES NV (HQ: Netherlands/Industry: Energy Equipment & Services)
52 Week Lo/Hi Price: 21.08 / 49.87
Previous Closing Price: 29.17
Margin of Safety Intrinsic Value Price: 18.43

10-Year Financial Summary (Recent/Average)
Revenue: $470M/$752M, with 5 declining years and -3.5% YoY decrease
EPS (USD): 0.42/2.39, with 4 declining years
BV (USD): 3.38/2.95, with 4 declining years and 122.4% YoY growth
FCF: $23M/$137M, with 7 declining years and -48.9% YoY decrease
Dividend: Decreased -96%, with 2 declining years
Share Count: Decreased -2%

The stock is fairly valued but only takes into account a 95% margin of safety when ideally it should be 60%

HNRG – HALLADOR ENERGY COMPANY (HQ: USA/Industry: Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels)
52 Week Lo/Hi Price: 1.85 / 6.17
Previous Closing Price: 4.14
Margin of Safety Intrinsic Value Price: 3.67


10-Year Financial Summary (Recent/Average)
Revenue: $248M/$249M, with 4 declining years and 2.5% YoY growth
EPS (USD): -0.12/0.21, with 6 declining years and currant year being negative
BV (USD): 6.17/6.96, with 3 declining years and -0.5% YoY decrease
FCF: $20M/$22M, with 6 declining years and -37.5% YoY decrease
Company did not pay a dividend last year
Share Count: Increased 7%

The stock is fairly valued but only takes into account a 62% margin of safety when ideally it should be 55%

*Growth Grade is an indicator of a company’s growth potential, refer to the Terminology page for a full description.
**Industry averages based on the stocks that have been valued on the website and not for all stocks in an industry.

 

Intrinsic values provided are intended as reference only. They should never be used as the sole means of valuing a company and/or making investment decisions. As with any investment, an investor should perform their due diligence before investing. This includes understand the investment risks, reviewing financial reporting documents, and consult an investment professional if necessary.

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